India to Surpass China as Most-Populous Nation in 2023

  • UN had previously estimated India to cross milestone by 2027
  • Report pegs global population growth at 8.5 billion by 2030

Commuters exit the Chhatrapati Shivaji Maharaj Terminus railway station in Mumbai, India.

Photographer: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg
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India is expected to surpass China to become the world’s most-populous nation in 2023, four years ahead of an earlier estimate by the United Nations.

The UN expects global population to hit 8 billion on Nov. 15 and grow to 8.5 billion by 2030. More than half the projected rise between now and 2050 is expected to be in just eight countries: Congo, Egypt, Ethiopia, India, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Philippines and Tanzania, according to a report titled World Population Prospects 2022.